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Jobless claims fall to lowest since 2008

Posted in Economy on 5th April 2012
American University students walk among recruiting booths during a career job fair at American University in Washington March 28, 2012. REUTERS/Jose Luis Magana

American University students walk among recruiting booths during a career job fair at American University in Washington March 28, 2012.

Credit: Reuters/Jose Luis Magana

WASHINGTON | Thu Apr 5, 2012 8:55am EDT

WASHINGTON (Reuters) – The number of Americans lining up for new jobless benefits fell to the lowest level in nearly four years last week, according to a government report that showed ongoing healing in the labor market.

Initial claims for state unemployment benefits fell 6,000 to a seasonally adjusted 357,000, the lowest since April 2008, the Labor Department said on Thursday.

“The claims data are consistent with modest job growth in March,” said Yelena Shulyatyeva, and economist at BNP Paribas in New York.

Futures for stocks pared losses following the data’s publication while prices on U.S. government debt trimmed gains. The euro extended losses against the dollar.

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Graphic – jobless claims: link.reuters.com/wyf57s

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Thursday’s weekly claims report has no direct relationship to the March employment report due on Friday because the data for the monthly report was gathered earlier in the month.

But the claims data could bolster the case that the healing labor market is lowering the need for the Federal Reserve to do more to boost growth.

Economists polled by Reuters expect the employment report will show the U.S. economy added 203,000 jobs last month, notching up a fourth straight month of solid job.

That would mark the longest stretch of monthly employment gains topping 200,000 since 1999.

The four-week moving average for new claims, a measure of labor market trends, declined 4,250 to 361,750.

Employers also appear optimistic enough to cut layoffs further. The number of planned layoffs at U.S. firms fell in March to the lowest level in 10 months, according to the report from consultants Challenger, Gray & Christmas, Inc.

Regarding Thursday’s report on jobless claims, a Labor Department official said there was nothing unusual in the state-level data.

The prior week’s figure was revised up to 363,000 from the previously reported 359,000. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast a claims reading of 355,000 for last week.

The number of people still receiving benefits under regular state programs after an initial week of aid fell 16,000 to 3.338 million in the week ended March 24, the lowest since August 2008.

A total of 7.05 million people were claiming unemployment benefits during the week ended March 17 under all programs, down 107,760 from the prior week.

(Additional reporting by Richard Leong and Leah Schnurr in New York; Editing by Neil Stempleman)


Services sector slips in March: ISM

Posted in Economy on 4th April 2012

NEW YORK | Wed Apr 4, 2012 10:15am EDT

NEW YORK (Reuters) – The pace of growth in the U.S. services sector slipped in March after hitting its highest level in a year the previous month, as a gauge of new orders declined, according to an industry report released on Wednesday.

The Institute for Supply Management said its services sector index fell to 56.0 last month from 57.3 in February, shy of economists’ forecasts for 57.0.

A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the sector.

The new orders index declined to 58.8 from 61.2, though the employment index improved to 56.7 from 55.7. A measure of prices paid was dialed back to 63.9 from 68.4.

Manufacturing up, construction spending falls

Posted in Economy on 2nd April 2012
An ironworker balances as he walks across a support beam while working above the 93rd floor of One World Trade Center as the building nears 100 stories tall in New York March 23, 2012. REUTERS/Lucas Jackson

1 of 2. An ironworker balances as he walks across a support beam while working above the 93rd floor of One World Trade Center as the building nears 100 stories tall in New York March 23, 2012.

Credit: Reuters/Lucas Jackson

NEW YORK | Mon Apr 2, 2012 11:16am EDT

NEW YORK (Reuters) – The pace of growth in manufacturing picked up last month, but construction spending saw its largest drop in seven months in February, pointing to an economy that is healing gradually.

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) said its index of national factory activity rose to 53.4 from 52.4 in February, topping economists’ expectations of 53.0.

It was a rebound for the sector that in February saw the pace of growth unexpectedly slow. Even so, the forward-looking gauge of new orders was modestly weaker in March, easing to 54.5 from 54.9.

The index has been stuck in a tight range in the low 50s since last summer, pointing to steady, though slow growth for the sector.

In contrast, the euro zone’s manufacturing sector contracted for an eighth straight month in March, with the downturn spreading to core countries Germany and France.

Factory activity in China offered a brighter picture, though it was still far from robust.

“Manufacturing is still chugging along here in the U.S. even though manufacturing is in a recession in Europe and just barely growing in China,” said Christopher Low, chief economist at FTN Financial in New York.

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For a graphic on construction spending:

link.reuters.com/cas47s

U.S. manufacturing payrolls and ISM employment index:

link.reuters.com/das47s

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Separate data showed U.S. construction spending fell 1.1 percent to an annual rate of $ 808.86 billion, the lowest level since October as investment in private and government projects fell.

As well, spending in January was revised to show a much bigger 0.8 percent fall instead of the previously reported decline of just 0.1 percent.

The report could prompt economists to lower their growth forecasts for the first quarter after raising them last week following better-than-expected consumer spending data for February.

U.S. stocks drifted higher shortly after the data, while Treasuries prices trimmed gains and the dollar cut losses against the yen.

The ISM report showed prices paid eased to 61.0 from 61.5 after a jump the month before.

Also on the positive side, the employment index rose to 56.1 from 53.2.

The Labor Department issues a comprehensive look at the job market in its March nonfarm payrolls report on Friday.

(Reporting by Leah Schnurr in New York and Lucia Mutikani in Washington; Editing by Padraic Cassidy)


After grad job slump, big hiring is back at U.S. colleges

Posted in Economy on 1st April 2012

NEW YORK | Sun Apr 1, 2012 8:10am EDT

NEW YORK (Reuters) – Sean Chua expected the hunt for his first job after college to be tough. After all, he watched his brother struggle to find a position when he graduated back in 2008. But his fears were unwarranted. The 21-year-old justice major at American University sent out only seven resumes before getting an offer earlier this month from IBM for an IT consulting job, making him a beneficiary of a turnaround in the labor market for U.S. graduates. “My mom’s first position was with IBM so she is particularly proud,” says Chua. Hiring is back in a big way on many college campuses, one of several signs a recovery in the U.S. jobs market is gaining traction. After four years during which many students graduated to find no job and had only their loans to show for their studies, most college campuses are teeming with companies eager to hire. A survey by the National Association of Colleges and Employers (NACE) found 2012 hiring is expected to climb 10.2 percent, above a previous estimate of 9.5 percent.

Companies such as General Electric, Amazon, Apple and Barclays Global are looking for new staff, even if some firms remain below the pre-recession levels of new hiring. In another sign of the recovery, some first-time job seekers are receiving multiple offers.

At University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill, the career service office has seen up to now a 7.4 percent increase in the number of interviews of students by potential employers from last year and the number of companies seeking to recruit for full-time jobs is up 9.2 percent. Undergraduate business majors reporting full-time job offers is up about 10 percent.

Career experts at a dozen of U.S. schools said they have seen an increase of 15 to 30 percent in the number of companies attending campus career fairs. At University of Florida, the fall career fair garnered 15 percent more companies in attendance than in 2010. And 150 companies asked to conduct interviews versus about 100 in recent years, said Ja’Net Glover, associate director of employer relations at the school. The increase in demand was so significant that it was the first time in years the school had to use both the first and second floors of the school’s basketball facility for interviews.

“It’s kind of like a no-brainer,” says Kathy Sims. Director of Career Services at UCLA. “The economy is better and the college recruitment market is improving.”

While the U.S. jobless rate fell to 8.3 percent in February, unemployment among college graduates over the age of 25 stood at 4.2 percent. Historically, their jobless rate is half that of Americans with only a high school education. Over the recession, unemployment among graduates climbed as high as 5 percent, sparking protests over the rising tuition cost of some U.S. colleges. U.S. unemployment data for March, due for release on April 6, is expected to show a total of just over 200,000 jobs were created in the month, keeping the overall unemployment rate at 8.3 percent.

BACKLOG FROM PAST YEARS, INTERNS SOAR

College graduates’ earnings are also on the rebound. NACE says the median wage for first-time job seekers after college for 2012 is up 4.5 percent higher than a year ago to $ 42,569.

That initial pay level can resonate over the span of a career. Several studies show that the life-time earnings for workers who enter the labor force at time of economic recession are lower than lifetime earnings of those who are hired amid an economic recovery. Given the tepid recovery of the economy, some caution is required. In 2008, many college graduates who had already accepted job offers were later away. After the run of lean years, many graduates are stuck in low-paying jobs and professions that never intended to follow, meaning there could be a backlog of well-educated workers who need to get their careers on track as well as new graduates. However, with a wide range of employers — from automakers to investment banks — back on campus offering internships and full-time jobs, and not just to engineering, computer science and math majors, the outlook for the Class of 2012 looks rosy.

General Electric wants to hire 5,000 interns this year, up from its usual 3,000 to 4,000. Since 70 percent of its full-time hires come from the interns pool, Steve Canale, head of global recruiting, said that uptick will also translate into more full-time jobs after graduation. “(Companies) are saying, ‘we have an aging workforce, and we have to replenish the pipeline.’ GE has always done it, but this year a lot of other companies are also reloading their talent pool,” Canale said.

Chrysler said it plans to hire 400 interns this year compared to 256 in 2011. The automaker has also hired almost 4,000 salaried employees since June 2009, about a quarter of which are new college graduates. The pick-up in hiring extends to industries that were among the hardest hit during the financial crisis. Schools report that banking and financial services companies have returned to campus for the Class of 2012.

It’s a stark contrast from just a few years ago when smaller firms appeared on campuses to replace the corporations no longer showing up.

“Even students with lower grades are finding opportunities,” says Notre Dame’s Svete, who believes job placement at the school is up about 7 percent. In 2009, only 75 percent of students had jobs or plans for graduate school at graduation. This year, the school expects that to climb to 85 to 88 percent, closer to the 90 percent level of 2007.

Nathan Pace, a senior at American University, hasn’t yet found a job, but is confident for his future job. He started the college four years ago and he has since seen each class of graduating seniors have better luck finding jobs.

Many of his friends recently secured job offers. “The vibe on campus is that people are excited,” says Pace.

(Reporting By Jilian Mincer and Jennifer Merritt, Editing by Tiziana Barghini; Desking by Andrew Hay)


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Dollar long bets rise to largest since January: CFTC

Posted in Economy on 31st March 2012

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A picture illustration shows a 100 Dollar banknote laying on one Dollar banknotes, taken in Warsaw, January 13, 2011. REUTERS/Kacper Pempel

A picture illustration shows a 100 Dollar banknote laying on one Dollar banknotes, taken in Warsaw, January 13, 2011.

Credit: Reuters/Kacper Pempel

NEW YORK | Fri Mar 30, 2012 4:12pm EDT

NEW YORK (Reuters) – Currency speculators boosted their bets in favor of the U.S. dollar in the latest week to their largest since January, according to data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission released on Friday.

The value of the dollar’s net long position rose to $ 19.58 billion in the week ended March 27, from $ 11.67 billion the previous week.

Shorts on the yen, on the other hand, ballooned to their biggest since July 2007, according to Scotia Capital estimates.

To be short a currency is to bet it will decline in value, while being long is a view its value will rise.

The Reuters calculation for the aggregate U.S. dollar position is derived from net positions of International Monetary Market speculators in the yen, euro, British pound, Swiss franc, Canadian and Australian dollars.

(Reporting by Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss)

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